Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.472991 4.053115 4.667723 5.364176 6.128278 6.938031 7.857954
2025-01-05 2.675041 3.483497 4.400700 5.504600 6.783570 8.205869 9.894094
2025-01-12 2.081236 3.011778 4.136913 5.564733 7.296140 9.297306 11.754253
2025-01-19 1.594591 2.568551 3.822190 5.493563 7.604361 10.126254 13.310920
2025-01-26 1.297031 2.307695 3.683738 5.597429 8.096480 11.162286 15.119541
2025-02-02 1.065086 2.090306 3.563148 5.692147 8.555898 12.150158 16.876128
2025-02-09 0.820585 1.803768 3.303528 5.562865 8.696495 12.721111 18.110807
2025-02-16 0.628885 1.558902 3.067168 5.432734 8.809990 13.240556 19.273115
2025-02-23 0.504775 1.401893 2.940293 5.439441 9.095896 13.977905 20.715710
2025-03-02 0.387269 1.227013 2.759379 5.343919 9.222704 14.495158 21.871302
2025-03-09 0.337770 1.178255 2.780551 5.552671 9.783569 15.602098 23.813601
2025-03-16 0.270227 1.070817 2.684797 5.566233 10.054329 16.312890 25.236826
2025-03-23 0.241554 1.051099 2.749024 5.846308 10.737004 17.620111 27.501231
2025-03-30 0.210328 1.016279 2.780725 6.073251 11.346464 18.838417 29.667981
2025-04-06 0.171923 0.948566 2.740039 6.173852 11.764533 19.794104 31.492178
2025-04-13 0.128099 0.844870 2.612410 6.114016 11.929108 20.389241 32.828886
2025-04-20 0.104274 0.795409 2.589932 6.233420 12.372169 21.386376 34.728343
2025-04-27 0.083756 0.747003 2.562344 6.338902 12.791967 22.352738 36.593141
2025-05-04 0.056423 0.649518 2.408699 6.201363 12.814115 22.736322 37.646586
2025-05-11 0.036169 0.561954 2.261602 6.061922 12.822649 23.093761 38.661847
2025-05-18 0.025101 0.510725 2.194852 6.069484 13.069422 23.804361 40.180889
2025-05-25 0.014869 0.445033 2.077315 5.966686 13.124658 24.225201 41.288870
2025-06-01 0.012201 0.438847 2.121953 6.191693 13.738941 25.496561 43.626120